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damages foundation · admissibility

Exclusion risk.

Liability and damages are proved separately. Winning the first guarantees nothing about the second.

begin here

What is being asserted, and how far along is it?

Start a conversation with the IP Concierge, already scoped to exclusion risk. Pick a starting point, or describe the matter directly.

IP Conciergeexclusion risk · orientation, not an opinion on your patent
Tell me roughly what the damages theory is and what evidence it rests on — licenses, usage data, component pricing. I will help you see where these opinions usually fail. I will not tell you whether yours would be admitted.

The most under-appreciated risk in an intellectual property case is that the infringement case succeeds and the damages case does not survive to reach a jury. Courts have been reminded, through an amendment to the rule governing expert testimony and through a run of appellate decisions, that admitting expert opinion is a gatekeeping decision requiring the proponent to establish that each step rests on sufficient facts and reliable method. In damages, that scrutiny concentrates on inputs rather than on models: whether the licenses relied on establish what they are said to establish, whether the base connects causally to the accused functionality, whether an apportionment was performed at all. The remedy when it fails can be severe — where no admissible evidence supports a royalty, an award can be reduced to a nominal sum after infringement has already been found.

mechanisms

Where opinions actually fail.

The recurring grounds, in roughly the order they appear in recent decisions.

Unsupported license propositions

An agreement said to establish a rate it does not unambiguously establish, particularly with lump sums.

Missing apportionment

A portfolio license or a multi-feature product used without separating out the asserted patent’s contribution.

Base without causal connection

A royalty base chosen without showing why it tracks the accused functionality.

Rules of thumb

Generic starting rates and mechanical splits untethered to the facts, long since rejected.

Ipse dixit

Adjustments and conclusions resting on the expert’s say-so rather than on a traceable basis.

Overreach beyond the method

An opinion stated more confidently, or more broadly, than the method applied can actually support.

methodology

What the evidence shows — and what we examine.

How the risk is reduced, in the order the work should happen.

Foundation review at pleadingEstablishing what evidence exists for a damages theory before the theory is committed to.
Discovery aimed at the foundationAsking for the licenses, usage data and negotiation records the opinion will need, while there is time.
Adversarial pre-reviewHaving the draft attacked internally on Rule 702 grounds before it is served.
Alternative theories preservedNot resting the entire damages case on one input that a single ruling can remove.
what's at stake

What turns on it

Whether winning the case means recovering anything.

nominal recovery after proven infringement a verdict set aside on appeal collapse of settlement leverage mid-case a retrial years after the first the cost of the case exceeding the recovery

Ten million dollars to one dollar.

In a 2025 appellate decision the exclusion of a damages expert — for relying on a portfolio license without apportioning the asserted patent from the others in it — left a jury award of roughly ten million reduced to a single dollar. Infringement was not the problem. The record underneath the number was.

common questions

Exclusion risk — practical questions

What changed to make this more common?

Two things reinforcing each other. The rule governing expert testimony was amended at the end of 2023 to make explicit that the proponent must establish admissibility by a preponderance and that an opinion must reflect a reliable application of the method to the facts — clarifying rather than raising the standard, but correcting a drift toward treating these as weight-not-admissibility questions. Appellate decisions since have applied that gatekeeping seriously in damages, where the inputs are frequently the softest part of an otherwise rigorous analysis.

Is the trend only toward more exclusion?

No, and it is worth being accurate about this rather than alarmist. A 2026 appellate decision reversed a district court’s exclusion of a damages expert, holding that a usage-based royalty base did establish a sufficient causal connection to the accused functionality. The direction is toward demanding a real evidentiary connection, which cuts against opinions that assume one and in favor of opinions that demonstrate one. That is a quality standard rather than a presumption against damages testimony.

Can a case survive exclusion of its damages expert?

Sometimes, and the outcomes are unforgiving. Where other admissible evidence supports a royalty, a fact-finder may still award damages, and courts have occasionally allowed a further attempt. Where the record contains nothing else, the outcome can be nominal despite established infringement. Because the answer depends heavily on what independent evidence exists, the practical protection is not to let the entire damages case rest on one input.

When should the damages foundation be tested?

Far earlier than it usually is — at the pleading and early discovery stage, not when the expert report is drafted. Almost everything that causes exclusion is knowable at the outset: what the license portfolio contains, whether component-level revenue exists, whether usage data is collected, whether the accused feature can be isolated. Discovering at expert disclosure that the necessary evidence was never requested is the expensive version, and by then the schedule rarely permits a fix.

related

Related specialization areas & resources.

Find the hole while there is still time to fill it.

Describe the damages theory and what supports it. The Institute will help you see where it is exposed.

IP conciergeorientation · not an opinion on your patent
Tell me roughly what the damages theory is and what evidence it rests on — licenses, usage data, component pricing. I will help you see where these opinions usually fail. I will not tell you whether yours would be admitted.